Pakistan is going to complete seventy-three years of its existence, and at the same time, the slogan of change is becoming louder and louder. It is a movement to eradicate corruption because old, young, men, women, Sindhis, Punjabi, Sunni, Shia, religious, liberal, rural, or civic – everyone hates political or moral evil. But in reality, the internal situation of the country is much more unstable. The dangers are far greater than corruption. The recent “Spring of Pakistan” created by the Army and the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) continues to deepen a crisis with far-reaching consequences. Look beyond the limited political landscape to a grim future, which is not far off. Open mouth is waiting for us.
A survey conducted by the British Council three years ago paved the way for change in Pakistan. The “youth” and the urban class are on the rise in the country. Half of Pakistan’s citizens are under 20 years of age, and 65 percent are now. They have not touched the age of 30. The population has tripled in the current fifty years. By 2018, another 14 million young people will be able to vote. 94% of young people think that the country is moving in the wrong direction. 80% think Our economic situation is not improving. This means that a large number of these young people do not see a bright future for Pakistan. Violence awaits us in our daily lives. Seventy percent think that Pakistan is a better place than in the past. Pakistan is ranked 149 out of 158 countries in the Global Peace Index.
The survey also found that the leading cause of youth anxiety is not terrorism but lack of jobs, justice, and inflation. Only 10% of young people have regular jobs. Besides, political parties and parliament are the least popular. Institutions, while the media, the military, the judiciary, and religious institutions are more popular. Less than 30 percent believe that “democracy” can move the country forward and create jobs, while more than 70 percent believe the military. The government or the implementation of Sharia is the best way. The majority of mobile phones and social media users think they want to vote for a change in the system. More than 80% of countries with 60% of the population under the age of 30, Like Pakistan, they suffer from violence and civil war because the “system” does not live up to expectations for economic and social betterment.
This raises the question of whether a forcible change of government on the pretext of political corruption can stem the tide of violence, insecurity, and despair in Pakistan. There is empirical evidence that these seventies of Pakistan’s independence Over the years, the change of “corrupt governments” has never reduced corruption. On the contrary, the repeated comings and goings of civilian governments and military dictatorships have not eradicated corruption. There is no doubt that in the current situation, A change of government in line with the aspirations and inclinations of young people would be fatal for Pakistan as it would result in a combination of uniforms and the judiciary gaining the right to rule and using the scale of the “Arab Spring” in the Middle East. We can test what kind of change the majority of young people want and what will happen as a result of it. Instead of moving towards economic development, security and stability by adopting a democratic system, the Middle Eastern countries, one by one, dictatorship, insurgency, Civil war and foreign intervention continued to erode until the state structure collapsed. Scattered, the fragrance of the Arab Spring turned into the despair of autumn, and instead of a pleasant breeze, a gust of wind scorched Gulistan.
By 2018, approximately 15 million young people, most of them conservative, unemployed and angry, will be on the current voting list. If they support religious and far-right parties in the election campaign at the instigation of unelected state institutions, no one will be able to save the country from violence, instability and civil war in the Middle East. But if we are lucky and these young people prefer to be associated with the country’s “corrupt democracy,” then Pakistan will have a chance to strengthen its democratic values and pursue economic stability.
Of course, it is also sure that the responsibility for the inaction and economic turmoil of the Pakistani state lies with the incompetent political parties with hereditary politics rather than the bloodthirsty military officers and the judiciary who happily cooperate with them. Still, It is interesting to note that the party trying to emerge from the current political quagmire is the one that was once created by the military and backed by the judiciary but is now learning from its past. To stop this, a new party has been created which has the support of the youth and which is leaning further to the right because it depends on the state institutions that cut their assets from religious conservatism.
Under these circumstances, on one side of the current political crisis are “incompetent and corrupt democratic forces” and on the other side are corrupt and religious extremists. The result of this confrontation will be nothing but the dissolution of the state, and its end in the Middle East.